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Who are the Euro 2024 Golden Boot favourites?

by Premiership Tips
11/06/2024

Euro 2024 begins this Friday with hosts Germany facing minnows Scotland at the Allianz Arena in Munich ahead of a summer full of international football.

One of the most popular pre-tournament bets is on who will score the most goals in Germany and win the Golden Boot.

Recent FIFA World Cup Golden Boot winners, Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe are among the contenders again, while Cristiano Ronaldo, who won the Golden Boot at Euro 2020, remains a strong candidate for what many expect to be the legend’s last major tournament.

Three out of the last four Golden Boot winners at the European Championships played for teams that reached the final: David Villa (Spain, 2008), Fernando Torres (Spain, 2012), and Antoine Griezmann (France, 2016). This trend suggests that a prolific goal-scorer is often crucial for a team’s success.

Although England are the bookmakers’ favourites heading into the tournament, we don’t expect Gareth Southgate’s side to reach the final, let alone go all the way. Therefore our favourite bet for this category is the same tip we successfully won at the World Cup 18 months ago… Real Madrid’s new signing Kylian Mbappe of France.

Best Bet for Euro 2024 Golden Boot: Kylian Mbappe 5/1

Kylian Mbappe seeks redemption after missing the crucial penalty in France’s last 16 exit at Euro 2020 at the hands of Switzerland. Now captaining his national team, Mbappe’s formidable record, including a hat-trick in the 2022 World Cup final, and multiple goals against strong opponents, makes him a leading contender. France’s superstar striker has playmakers in support from the likes of Antoine Griezmann, Ousmane Dembele and Olivier Giroud.

Value Outside Bet for Euro 2024 Golden Boot: Bukayo Saka 40/1

Bukayo Saka is coming off his best Premier League season with 16 goals, and scored 3 goals at the 2022 World Cup. Although teammate Harry Kane won the Golden Boot at the 2018 World Cup and finished with 4 goals at Euro 2020, the Bayern Munich striker has been reliant on penalties and isn’t great value at 11/2. England should have a favourable group and should play 4-5 games in Germany to give Saka a chance at winning the Golden Boot at 40/1.